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Treasury Rates For January 7th, 2019

Period

Interest Rates

91 – Day

14.5963%

182 – Day

15.0446%

2 – Year Term Note

19.7500%

3 – Year Term Note

20.0000%

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Short-term Government of Ghana (GoG) Treasury bill rates began the year building on the upward trajectory which began in the last quarter of 2018. Both the 91-day and 182-day bills ended the year, 2018, with a year-to-date appreciation of 9.63% and 8.18% respectively despite a continuous drop in the consumer price index. Inflation rate began 2018 at 10.3% and currently stands at 9.3%, its lowest in more than 5 years. This diverging trend between short-term Treasury yields and the consumer price index implies that investors will continue to enjoy higher real returns on their investments.

This week, the yield on the 91-day bill was little changed at 14.5963% from last week’s rate of 14.5944%.

The yield on the 182-day bill also tightened by 2 basis points (bps) to recover part of previous week’s 7 bps dip. It rose from 14.9597% recorded last week to 15.0060% this week.

Week on week changes for 7th January, 2018

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31-Dec-18

7-Jan-19

CHANGE

PERCENTAGE CHANGE

91 – Day

14.5944%

14.5963%

0.0019

0.0130%

182 – Day

15.0271%

15.0446%

0.0175

0.1165%

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Auction results from Bank of Ghana (BoG) tender 1623 further showed that demand for the short-term instruments remained weak as investors continue to increase their purchase of consumables. Total bids tendered and accepted for both the 91-day and 182-day bills came in at GHC 342.87 million against the government’s target amount of GHC 483.00 million.

As per the first quarter issuance calendar for the year, the government issued a 2-year term note at a yield of 19.7500%, up from 19.5000%. The government accepted all bids tendered for the 2-year term note which came in at GHC 378.04 million.

The government also issued its first 3-year fixed rate bond in 2019 at a rate of 20.0000%, its highest since March, 2017. This represents a 50 bps surge from the last 3-year fixed rate bond issued in October last year.

Next week, the government is expected to raise a total of GHC 428.00 million in 91-day and 182-day bills and GHC 125.00 million from a 1-year term note.

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The Treasury Yield Curve

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